Arkansas Poll Equally Grim for GOP, Democrats (AP Analysis)

by Andrew DeMillo, The Associated Press  on Monday, Oct. 28, 2013 7:37 am  

The biggest test of that anger may come from the Pryor-Cotton matchup, which the Arkansas Poll and others have shown to be a dead heat with many voters still undecided. But that anger may be outweighed by disapproval for Obama, whose unpopularity hit a new low in the poll's results.

The other ray of hope for Democrats could come in 2016, with the possibility of another presidential run by Hillary Clinton. The former first lady and ex-secretary of state won the support of 44 percent of likely voters, compared to 42 percent for a generic Republican, in that matchup.

Those numbers, plus the close match-ups for governor and Senate, may offer hope to Democrats that the same kind of personality-driven voting still exists that helped Republicans like Mike Huckabee break through when the state was solidly Democratic.

"In some ways personality can outweigh the party brand," Parry said. "We may see signs of that in these results."

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