Most polls correctly placed Republicans Asa Hutchinson and Tom Cotton ahead of their Democratic foes for governor and U.S. Senate. What most did not do is predict the large margin of victory each would enjoy on Election Day.
A two-term Democratic senator sees a drop in his approval numbers as he gears up for re-election, an increasing number of voters say they're worried the state is headed in the wrong direction and more of them are blaming Democrats than Republicans for the federal government shutdown.
With control of the Legislature and a GOP sweep of the state's four congressional seats potentially within reach, Republicans in Arkansas are heading into Tuesday's election ready to test whether the party's momentum in recent years will break what had been a reliable Democratic stronghold in the South.
The University of Arkansas releases its annual Arkansas Poll, showing overwhelming approval of Gov. Mike Beebe and a 20-point preference on the part of likely voters to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney over President Barack Obama.